Muted-Steel-Deodorant
0x89c427aa22b9f32b9702e19b69f268b5f6386e63
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 54m and 58m?
369 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?
85 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
55 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
21 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $160 Week of May 4 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of May 4 2026?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?$1.05May 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$0.96May 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.89May 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.78May 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?$0.64May 13, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 12?$4.39May 13, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$5.04May 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 12?$1.05May 11, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$1.05May 11, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 12?$1.05May 11, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 12?$1.05May 11, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 12?$1.05May 11, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Racing Club end in a draw?$1.49May 11, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5$1.94May 11, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Rosario Central vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?$1.46May 11, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMSBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5$1.58May 10, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?$0.30May 10, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?$0.04May 10, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?$0.06May 10, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?$0.12May 10, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.