Watchful-Increase
0x89d16bd662baae3008f40af765d10555d7137005
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$74.19
Total PnL
$-0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
39 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$38.78
$-0.02
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.45
$-0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.67
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 9?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.29
$0.01
- NO
Will "GOAT" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.58
$0.00
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.44
$-0.01
- YES
Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.29
$0.01
- NO
Will "Ladies First" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.29
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 9?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.23
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 9?$1.23Jun 9, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 9?$5.28Jun 9, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.67Jun 9, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "GOAT" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$5.00Jun 9, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ladies First" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$1.28Jun 9, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$1.28Jun 9, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO on June 29, 2026?$1.06Jun 9, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later?$1.05Jun 9, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.06Jun 9, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.58Jun 9, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$38.81Jun 9, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.45Jun 9, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$9.46Jun 9, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.20Jun 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.31Jun 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.03Jun 9, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.