Wise-Macro
0x89d29daf3d2b70e905b489890d119b96f67c2396
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-53.26
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
147 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-47.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
110 shares @ 66.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-73.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
108 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-37.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
90 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
89 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-22.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.80Jun 26, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.02Jun 25, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.25Jun 24, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.01Jun 24, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.35Jun 24, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.02Jun 24, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.43Jun 24, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.02Jun 24, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.54Jun 24, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.02Jun 24, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.23Jun 24, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.01Jun 24, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Jun 24, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.06Jun 24, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.04Jun 24, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.30Jun 24, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.10Jun 24, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.77Jun 24, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.05Jun 24, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.89Jun 24, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.