Salty-Feedback
0x89d9c8ebf1b178084fea61485164ae39d13c6aa7
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-841.64
Realised
$235.97
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 26?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?
5284 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-31.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 26?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 27?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 27?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 26?
2887 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 22?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 22?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-2.5)$47.72Jun 25, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?$101.47Jun 25, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$25.53Jun 25, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$50.88Jun 20, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$25.56Jun 19, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$29.88Jun 19, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Morocco (-1.5)$23.89Jun 19, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 18?$2.53Jun 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 18?$4.27Jun 17, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on June 17?$20.00Jun 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 17?$3.81Jun 17, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 17?$4.02Jun 17, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$18.50Jun 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 17?$10.35Jun 17, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 17?$8.54Jun 17, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$1.86Jun 17, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.49Jun 16, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-1.5)$77.02Jun 16, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$20.00Jun 16, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.49Jun 16, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $16.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.