0x89dc43e8877e30b245ca74c6eb19db5d620531fc
0x89dc43e8877e30b245ca74c6eb19db5d620531fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.95
Total PnL
$-23.6K
Realised
$-165.32
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
12 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
4619499 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.3K
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
26230 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-118.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.62May 1, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 1, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 1, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$7.28Apr 29, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.46Apr 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$7.28Apr 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.00Apr 28, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$2.00Apr 28, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$2.00Apr 28, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$9.04Apr 28, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.00Apr 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$4.00Apr 24, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$6.00Apr 24, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$5.00Apr 24, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$2.00Apr 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.00Apr 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.00Apr 23, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.00Apr 22, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$2.00Apr 22, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.