Substantial-Cereal
0x89dd35cc26062bb16973d198f0eb8fb3d45f0b43
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 2?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 9?
550 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
332 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?
195 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
188 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
7 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?$118.56Jun 5, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?$115.14Jun 4, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$114.94Jun 3, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$109.28Jun 3, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$110.11May 29, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$110.01May 29, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$109.44May 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$109.02May 25, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?$109.21May 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?$109.01May 22, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?$109.22May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?$109.01May 19, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$109.33May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$109.02May 17, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$108.50May 15, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$106.12May 15, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$106.06May 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$105.05May 14, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$155.16May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$155.01May 13, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $102.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".