Tinted-Jet
0x89e2f5ec9a1eb71841e51518e36ac868a8e06845
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
6000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
6000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Republicans control 224 seats in the House after the election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMZama FDV above $4B one day after launch?$102.82Feb 4, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $4B one day after launch?$101.89Jan 30, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 2?$61.66Jan 1, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 2?$10.00Jan 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 2?$299.70Jan 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 2?$80.00Jan 1, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 2?$218.00Jan 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 2?$15.89Jan 1, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 2?$31.97Jan 1, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 2?$717.24Jan 1, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be greater than $170 on January 2?$259.08Jan 1, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be greater than $170 on January 2?$259.08Jan 1, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be greater than $170 on January 2?$1.1KJan 1, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be greater than $170 on January 2?$1.2KJan 1, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be greater than $170 on January 2?$1.4KJan 1, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $170 on January 2?$1.3KJan 1, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $170 on January 2?$914.54Jan 1, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $170 on January 2?$2.2KJan 1, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 1?$836.12Jan 1, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 09:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.