0x89e3eaf9588e3e6802f20395522c5a3d3ccc38cc
0x89e3eaf9588e3e6802f20395522c5a3d3ccc38cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.11
Total PnL
$-16.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ETH
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
402 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
68 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
2 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$1.00Jan 25, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$1.00Jan 25, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jan 25, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$10.00Jan 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 15?$1.00Jan 15, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 15?$1.00Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Jan 15, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 15, 05:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 05:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 14:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.