Agonizing-Cicada
0x89e734e73d1efb791c63b160c9c271efbd578c09
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
532442 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-653.31
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
508917 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-508.92
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
418510 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-634.04
- NO
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?
156306 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
2401 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-43.22
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?
103 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-39.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?$39.23Jan 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$43.22Sep 16, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$43.22Sep 16, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$54.03Sep 16, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$54.03Sep 16, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$54.09Sep 16, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?$51.00Sep 16, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?$52.20Sep 16, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBraves vs. Nationals$55.25Sep 16, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBraves vs. Nationals$2.75Sep 16, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBraves vs. Nationals$34.20Sep 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$153.21Oct 19, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$82.33Oct 19, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$258.19Oct 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$426.58Oct 14, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$242.08Oct 11, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.9KSep 11, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?$223.71Sep 10, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?$0.25Sep 10, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?$20.00Sep 10, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $190.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.