Giant-Innocence
0x89f0a333cda79fccc920dc0f003823e9bece1e62
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$608.64
Total PnL
$-302.64
Realised
$-9.76
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$109.83
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C or below on June 13?
82 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$82.04
$0.12
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
40 shares @ 79.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.60
$-0.20
- NO
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
40 shares @ 82.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$28.80
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11?
40 shares @ 48.8¢·now 48.8¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$19.52
$0.02
- NO
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 49.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$18.80
$-0.80
- NO
Will Francisco Conceição be in Portugal's Starting 11?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$18.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Deniz Undav be in Germany's Starting 11?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$17.80
$0.20
- NO
Will Morocco be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$17.10
$0.30
- NO
Will Nélson Semedo be in Portugal's Starting 11?
19 shares @ 67.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$16.74
$4.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$2.26Jun 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5 $3.80Jun 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Youri Tielemans be in Belgium's Starting 11?$1.78Jun 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Gordon be in England's Starting 11?$0.22Jun 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.68Jun 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.09Jun 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.88Jun 13, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford be in England's Starting 11?$9.00Jun 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.90Jun 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.22Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11?$8.80Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.38Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$4.70Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Ndoye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.80Jun 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothy Castagne be in Belgium's Starting 11?$13.80Jun 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.41Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$11.20Jun 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.80Jun 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?$14.40Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$14.00Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.