Humble-Portion
0x89f93c66341f7895b4e18985a973d5d05d2deb5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
8901 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-131.29
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
1985 shares @ 91.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
299 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-241.83
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
250 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-202.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
109 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
55 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-42.35
- KNICKS
Hawks vs. Knicks
44 shares @ 85.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-37.61
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
35 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.65
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?
35 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-21.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$6.02Jun 28, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$30.00Jun 25, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$25.51Jun 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$25.03Jun 21, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$66.00Jun 20, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$38.94Jun 20, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$38.82Jun 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$33.15Jun 17, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$33.64Jun 17, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$33.02Jun 17, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$31.37Jun 16, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.00Jun 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$25.09Jun 16, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$25.77Jun 16, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$25.05Jun 16, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$31.00Jun 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$66.40Jun 15, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$5.42Jun 15, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$5.01Jun 15, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$1.5KJun 15, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $172.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.