0x89fa5508af2dc8db699fb804b888ca1444ce5496
0x89fa5508af2dc8db699fb804b888ca1444ce5496
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$23.25
Total PnL
$-481.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
50 shares @ 0.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$23.25
$23.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
1600 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
1050 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1012 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
750 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
550 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
150 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
150 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
150 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
150 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.00Jul 11, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Jul 11, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$50.00Jul 11, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$3.19Jul 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.81Jul 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.41Jul 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$8.59Jul 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.40Jul 11, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.50Jul 11, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.00Jul 11, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.10Jul 11, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2.25Jul 11, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$7.75Jul 11, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$4.00Jul 11, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.10Jul 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$2.10Jul 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$2.78Jul 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.02Jul 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$4.28Jul 11, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$0.50Jul 11, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 04:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.