Slight-Consensus
0x89fd8ccdb4ee77bf4ad9b8e50f187bc050f23e09
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$109.72
Total PnL
$-0.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$30.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.89
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.00Mar 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.00Mar 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.00Mar 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?$20.00Mar 10, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?$30.00Mar 10, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$10.80Mar 10, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.02Mar 10, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.04Mar 10, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$20.06Mar 10, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.08Mar 10, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.22Mar 10, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$10.77Jan 2, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 2, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.00Jan 2, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.00Jan 2, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.00Jan 2, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$20.00Jan 2, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? $20.02Jan 2, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$20.02Jan 2, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in November?$20.06Jan 2, 13:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $22.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 13:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.