Infatuated-Tender
0x8a03582c7d769a3774faa02956665fb97fe02c44
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$69.32
Total PnL
$0.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?
31 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$31.12
$0.12
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?
26 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$26.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$12.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?$26.00Apr 27, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?$12.00Apr 27, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$17.21Apr 27, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?$20.79Apr 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$16.95Mar 19, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$16.95Mar 19, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$16.92Feb 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Another team win the UEFA Europa League?$16.92Feb 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBournemouth wins the Premier League?$31.06Feb 10, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the SPD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$10.8KFeb 10, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$10.8KFeb 10, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?$20.00Feb 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anfernee Simons lead the NBA in scoring?$24.97Feb 10, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?$11.8KFeb 10, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?$11.11Feb 10, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?$31.00Feb 10, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?$11.8KFeb 10, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Another team win the UEFA Europa League?$17.00Feb 10, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anfernee Simons lead the NBA in scoring?$25.00Jan 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul George lead the NBA in Scoring?$2.8KJan 12, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 07:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.