Deep-Ballet
0x8a06ea8937f6b672a46baed1ee5862faed77c333
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.9%?
599 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
263 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
84 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
63 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.8%?
45 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DJOKOVIC
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?
22 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 29, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$1.16Jan 21, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$1.20Jan 21, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.72Jan 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.8%?$1.00Jan 9, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?$1.00Jan 9, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.7%?$1.00Jan 8, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.8%?$1.00Jan 8, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.9%?$2.00Jan 8, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?$1.00Jan 8, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.10Dec 29, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 29, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?$62.44Dec 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?$1.00Dec 17, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?$1.00Dec 17, 06:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.