Second-Hand-Musicbox
0x8a07d6d9783bbc9466fd1b739a672b3c2c7c077c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$14.62
Total PnL
$-8.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
15 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$14.62
$0.42
- YES
Will England win the 2024 Euros?
18 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-6.33
- YES
Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Celtics win the 2024 NBA Finals 4-0?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$14.20Jan 17, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2024 Euros?$13.33Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2024 Euros?$8.00Jul 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2024 Euros?$5.33Jul 13, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win Group C?$15.62Jul 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group C?$12.00Jun 25, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMFlorida Panthers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?$3.16Jun 25, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win Group A?$8.32Jun 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group A?$5.00Jun 23, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?$2.00Jun 23, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win Group B?$2.63Jun 23, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win Group F?$2.86Jun 23, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win?$1.49Jun 19, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win?$1.00Jun 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win Group B?$2.00Jun 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group F?$2.00Jun 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group C?$1.00Jun 18, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group A?$2.00Jun 18, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Celtics win the 2024 NBA Finals 4-1?$2.78Jun 18, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMLuka Doncic top scorer in NBA Finals? $5.21Jun 18, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.