Apprehensive-Weight
0x8a0866dcd50a64377909be0038c4eadaf2de0db2
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
169
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-636.18
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
71294 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-285.18
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
53067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-142.75
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: Other
52696 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-185.86
- YES
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
52510 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-67.42
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?
36427 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-73.22
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House
33892 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-637.51
- YES
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
20197 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-57.06
- YES
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.70 before December?$10.00Nov 23, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$10.00Nov 23, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$10.00Nov 23, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$33.90Nov 23, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$16.13Nov 23, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$35.71Nov 23, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Georgia by 2.0%-3.0%?$48.58Nov 23, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?$64.86Nov 23, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? $69.28Nov 23, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win another state by the largest margin?$3.80Nov 5, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Maryland by the largest margin?$2.00Nov 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win California by the largest margin?$3.00Nov 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Massachusetts by the largest margin?$2.00Nov 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win another state by the largest margin?$2.00Nov 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Maryland Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 5, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win another state by the largest margin?$5.00Nov 5, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House$19.88Nov 5, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Oklahoma by the largest margin?$4.00Nov 5, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Arkansas by the largest margin?$10.00Nov 5, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win New York by the largest margin?$3.00Nov 5, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 23, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".