Juvenile-Location
0x8a0a450346ab964171e46494fea2863b835428d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$14.30
Total PnL
$-85.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
14 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.30
$4.30
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?
355 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
165 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
136 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 10, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during announcement today?$0.00Mar 10, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during announcement today?$0.00Mar 10, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during announcement today?$0.00Mar 10, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.44Jan 1, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$5.81Jan 1, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?$13.33Nov 26, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$2.00Nov 20, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?$5.00Nov 20, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$15.00Nov 20, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.87Nov 13, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$0.00Nov 13, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$16.67Nov 13, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?$14.93Nov 5, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.00Oct 26, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?$10.00Oct 26, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?$0.94Oct 19, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.06Oct 19, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.40Oct 19, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 23:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".