Afraid-Convection
0x8a0a973f463bd9b7ef2bff1aab21a95c60a2720d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$237.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
1154 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1124 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5
765 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-259.89
- YES
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-08?
684 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-259.88
- RCD ESPANYOL DE BARCELONA
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)
679 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3?
513 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?
509 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
406 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAtalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5$259.89Feb 9, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.50Feb 9, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$40.00Feb 9, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09?$50.00Feb 9, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5$50.00Feb 9, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-09?$47.00Feb 9, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)$20.00Feb 9, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)$20.00Feb 9, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$25.00Feb 9, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSeahawks vs. Patriots$512.39Feb 9, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$471.16Feb 9, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLJuventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5$166.49Feb 8, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5$304.67Feb 8, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)$7.10Feb 8, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBrighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5$7.10Feb 8, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$36.66Feb 8, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?$36.67Feb 8, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-08?$159.88Feb 8, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?$20.00Feb 8, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-08?$100.00Feb 8, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $82.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".