Disloyal-Anarchist
0x8a12cc69ebf55f4792b55bd308bf7474bd4db6f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$1.23
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?$1.20Jan 21, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$0.00Jan 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$1.00Dec 10, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Nets$1.39Dec 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)$0.00Dec 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMBears vs. Eagles$0.00Dec 10, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Nets$1.00Nov 28, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. Eagles$1.00Nov 28, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)$1.00Nov 28, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi strike on Israel by October 15?$3.16Nov 28, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by October 15?$3.00Oct 9, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.91Oct 9, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?$2.08Oct 9, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$2.00Oct 3, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?$2.00Oct 3, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?$2.19Oct 3, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?$2.08Sep 18, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill HRPP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?$0.00Sep 18, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HRPP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?$2.00Aug 24, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?$2.13Aug 24, 09:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 09:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 18:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.