0x8a1ef3aaf656743c3fc4a65dfae2f6ad34d113bc
0x8a1ef3aaf656743c3fc4a65dfae2f6ad34d113bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$4.29
Total PnL
$-30.61
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-12?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-11?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
410 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
23 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.02Jul 25, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.04Jul 25, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.15Jul 25, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.02Jul 25, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.07Jul 25, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$0.01Jul 25, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$4.02Jul 25, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$2.92Jul 25, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henan FC win on 2026-07-11?$1.03Jul 25, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-12?$1.03Jul 25, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$4.98Jul 25, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$3.72Jul 25, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.41Jul 25, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.37Jul 25, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.03Jul 25, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.66Jul 25, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.06Jul 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.03Jul 25, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.82Jul 25, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.09Jul 25, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.