Outlying-Epoxy
0x8a224b1da318263bcd89c821a9b5f12609bb2929
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-81.43
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-03?
3022 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 12, 2PM ET
2258 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-41.82
- NANJING MONKEY KING
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rockets
2104 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-54.41
- ROSSMANN CENTAURS
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
1940 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- NO
Will Solana dip to $80 on April 1?
1448 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-22.69
- YES
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?
1305 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-02?
772 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-63.99
- SARA BEJLEK
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Belinda Bencic
628 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-258.64
- OVER
Boyacá Chicó FC vs. Deportivo Pereira: O/U 2.5
579 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-69.52
- PEYTON STEARNS
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kessler
545 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-171.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$6.65Jun 29, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.13Jun 29, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.88Jun 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.07Jun 28, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.07Jun 28, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$6.02Jun 28, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$5.08Jun 28, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$6.02Jun 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.08Jun 28, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.95Jun 28, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.08Jun 28, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.07Jun 28, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$6.10Jun 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.08Jun 28, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$5.88Jun 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$5.07Jun 28, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$11.11Jun 17, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$10.10Jun 17, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$10.13Jun 17, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$11.90Jun 17, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 20:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.