Dead-Pleat
0x8a23b6762e029fce5141f33bf859af95f9561960
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$59.18
Total PnL
$-5.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Chainlink reach $18 in March?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$50.05
$0.05
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink reach $18 in March?$50.00Mar 30, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.00Mar 30, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$2.00Mar 30, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.00Mar 30, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.20 in February?$1.0KMar 30, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.20 in February?$1.0KFeb 27, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$1.04Feb 27, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLReya FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.95Feb 27, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.12Feb 27, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.24Feb 27, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Feb 27, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phantom launch a token in 2025?$2.66Feb 27, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$6.52Feb 27, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$997.79Feb 27, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Unit launch a token in 2025?$1.01Feb 27, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.02Feb 27, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.04Feb 27, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $207.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.