Failing-Bagel
0x8a2630beb27a28aee89c0ae9ad6af0329dbefaf3
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.17
Total PnL
$-10.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 12.2¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.17
$0.17
- OVER
Baena vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5
14292 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.1K
- NO
Armenia vs. Belarus: Both Teams to Score
7003 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.47Apr 1, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$49.02Mar 31, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$9.11Mar 31, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.00Mar 31, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.42Mar 31, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.82Mar 31, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$9.00Mar 31, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$8.80Mar 31, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$9.00Mar 31, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$8.80Mar 31, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$9.00Mar 31, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$31.43Mar 31, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$9.15Mar 31, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$9.15Mar 31, 00:23 UTC
- REWARD$4.23Mar 31, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$2.11Mar 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.25Mar 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.35Mar 30, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$25.65Mar 30, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.64Mar 30, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $345.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".