Severe-Schnitzel
0x8a2b984ed7acdfb217dd4906213d8e7dcc72841d
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$41.32
Total PnL
$-0.06
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.34
$0.02
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
9 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.01
$-0.00
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.99
$-0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET$9.32Jun 17, 17:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.01Jun 14, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.99Jun 14, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.00Jun 14, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$7.98Jun 14, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$8.00Jun 14, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$8.70Jun 14, 07:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.01Jun 13, 09:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.99Jun 12, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.00Jun 12, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.99Jun 12, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.00Jun 12, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.99Jun 12, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.99Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.