Imperfect-Sink
0x8a38a22d2fa24c111d996964d6af068353a015a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$139.00
Total PnL
$-651.32
Realised
$-13.28
Win rate
0%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
Chicago Fire FC to score first vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
120 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Oct 7, 2026$55.80
$0.60
- YES
Vancouver Whitecaps FC to score first vs. Chicago Fire FC?
120 shares @ 45.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Oct 7, 2026$55.80
$1.80
- YES
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Neither team to score first?
120 shares @ 5.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Oct 7, 2026$17.40
$11.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET
586 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-134.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12PM ET
27 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3PM ET
24 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-13.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1PM ET
24 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7AM ET
24 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2AM ET$6.46Aug 13, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.00Aug 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.13Aug 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.13Aug 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.13Aug 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.27Aug 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.27Aug 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.27Aug 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.83Aug 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.83Aug 13, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.83Aug 13, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.83Aug 13, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.83Aug 13, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.72Aug 13, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.69Aug 13, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.55Aug 13, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.55Aug 13, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$1.69Aug 13, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$2.25Aug 13, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$2.39Aug 13, 05:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
43 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.