Wallet digest

active

Activity score

33/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

138

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-18.4K

Realised

$-758.29

Win rate

11%

85 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 138

GEN.G
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
1925 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026
$0.00
$-904.84
GAME HUNTERS
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage
1396 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.00
$-484.53
MIBR ACADEMY
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A
1139 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026
$0.00
$-22.78
LYON ACADEMY
LoL: LYON Academy vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 2 Winner
1069 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026
$0.00
$-170.46
GENTLE MATES
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs
1057 shares @ 61.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026
$0.00
$-647.76
BASEMENT BOYS
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs
1038 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026
$0.00
$-342.90
LYON
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
1023 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026
$0.00
$-51.15
3DMAX
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
1022 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026
$0.00
$-572.59
REGAIN
Counter-Strike: Voca vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffs
1004 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026
$0.00
$-176.01
ENJOY
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs ENJOY (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group B
1000 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026
$0.00
$-524.71

Recent activity

REFERRAL_REWARD$2.75Aug 17, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$4.94Aug 16, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$1.51Aug 15, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$1.56Aug 14, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$8.62Aug 13, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$3.73Aug 12, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$3.08Aug 11, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$3.21Aug 10, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$4.73Aug 9, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$4.77Aug 8, 00:35 UTC
REWARD$4.52Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$3.86Aug 7, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$4.64Aug 6, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$1.78Aug 5, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$1.78Aug 4, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$4.61Aug 3, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$3.01Aug 2, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$1.88Aug 1, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$3.76Jul 31, 00:35 UTC
TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$103.50Jul 30, 15:16 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Attention signal

60/100

read-only

Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

11% win rate over 85 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal

pass

21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.

Resolved-only track record

pass

85 closed markets, 11% win rate.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity63 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry59 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk35 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 21
Avg trade size: $68.08
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jul 28, 13:22 UTC
Last active: Aug 17, 00:35 UTC
Win rate sample: 85 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 04:59:25 UTC·src:Polymarket Data