Bogus-Due
0x8a3e0186cd2dfa7628709738f85b8bc01530222a
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
0%
195 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$5.00
$2.85
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
22 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.43
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
21 shares @ 63.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
21 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
21 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.95
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
21 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.24
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
21 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.12
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
21 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
21 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.03
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
21 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.90Aug 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$2.24Aug 17, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.29Aug 17, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.64Aug 17, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.00Aug 15, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.83Aug 14, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.74Aug 14, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.48Aug 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$2.08Aug 14, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.48Aug 14, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.00Aug 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.88Aug 14, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 1.5 Rounds$6.33Jul 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$7.58Jul 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)$14.71Jul 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 1.5 Rounds AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)$4.99Jul 9, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.06Jul 9, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$5.05Jul 9, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)$5.07Jul 9, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)$5.10Jul 9, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
60/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 195 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
195 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 195 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.