Bleak-Premier
0x8a4063c1836819a346a3df9e76307d01071af518
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$101.15
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
289 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-45.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
257 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-141.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
250 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
195 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-84.00
- MOUZ
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
195 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-83.66
- YELLOW SUBMARINE
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
192 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-88.49
- RE.ARISE
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise - Game 2 Winner
191 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
- ESTAR BACKS
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Team Nemesis - Game 3 Winner
188 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-94.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
188 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
188 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-110.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMSet 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs Buse$32.00Jul 23, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs Buse$16.40Jul 23, 12:22 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$16.01Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$48.69Jul 21, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$49.08Jul 21, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$47.50Jul 21, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$47.21Jul 21, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$97.19Jul 21, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$54.58Jul 21, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$151.64Jul 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$162.40Jul 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$162.34Jul 21, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$121.05Jul 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$121.46Jul 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$109.78Jul 21, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$109.38Jul 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$138.61Jul 21, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$138.92Jul 21, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$139.06Jul 21, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$138.62Jul 21, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
91% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $109.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.