Naive-Birth
0x8a46bba109c116faa9f4ab2daa795d37d527de81
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-177.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Trump sign any Executive Order week of October 24?
822 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
438 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.69
- YES
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by 27–30%?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 28?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 28?
200 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 10?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 8?
138 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 6?
62 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
58 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$243.96Jan 11, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$48.00Jan 10, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$48.00Jan 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$103.23Jan 6, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 6, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$100.00Jan 6, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 6, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$29.69Nov 30, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$5.00Nov 29, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 28?$34.68Nov 28, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 28?$21.84Nov 28, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 28?$5.00Nov 28, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 28?$22.00Nov 28, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 25?$37.74Nov 27, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 25?$20.00Nov 25, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$31.11Nov 25, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$23.33Nov 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$23.33Nov 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$21.09Nov 14, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$2.42Nov 14, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $29.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".