Dependable-Rostrum
0x8a4ceea487d437f8ca48fde1533d09b61f6f2c4c
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$81.82
Realised
$81.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
2319 shares @ 85.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.3K
$282.79
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
1150 shares @ 88.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$994.95
$-25.04
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
684 shares @ 84.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$639.20
$59.21
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
627 shares @ 83.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$564.01
$39.01
- YES
ECB rate hike in 2026?
641 shares @ 85.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$541.58
$-8.41
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
553 shares @ 90.4¢·now 91.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$504.04
$4.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
255 shares @ 80.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$215.23
$10.23
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
313 shares @ 54.4¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$178.11
$8.11
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1480 shares @ 10.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$123.55
$-31.45
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$107.30
$7.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.022h ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$300.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$20.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.8012h ago
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$124.1312h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.4612h ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$100.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$100.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.4719h ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$100.0019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.0420h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.7622h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$301.4523h ago
- TRADEBUYECB rate hike in 2026?$201.2123h ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$50.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYECB rate hike in 2026?$201.2123h ago
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$337.3023h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$522.3523h ago
- YIELD$0.021d ago
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$5.031d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $117.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
