Tragic-Manhunt
0x8a5669c9350a0abb057c8c87e6a8caf400f73b4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$110.87
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$0.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
65 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$64.59
$0.19
- NO
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
13 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.38
$0.28
- NO
Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$11.03
$0.03
- NO
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$8.43
$0.03
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.20
$0.10
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- RANGERS
Rangers vs. Rays
6786 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$64.40Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$3.10Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2.28Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$3.00Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$3.50Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$3.82Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?$4.61Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?$5.10Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$7.05Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$49.55Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$49.50Nov 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$13.10Oct 12, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nico Hülkenberg finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$1.90Oct 12, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$2.20Oct 12, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in August 2025?$3.11Oct 12, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?$3.11Oct 12, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” before September$3.41Oct 12, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?$4.04Oct 12, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on September 13?$4.30Oct 12, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $122.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 18:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".