0x8a59e0a61bec4c54643e0ac3ef4d49dd5ef58135
0x8a59e0a61bec4c54643e0ac3ef4d49dd5ef58135
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.14
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
28%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
24 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.14
$-0.10
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
7285 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.57
- NO
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?
2229 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-579.53
- YES
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
257 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
204 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
- NO
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?
173 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-46.62
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?
154 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-37.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 24?
129 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.45
- NO
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-25?
79 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-33.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.