Ajar-Note
0x8a5ba660985a39d86b48ade83f697aaaee258d76
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$13.63
Total PnL
$-9.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.47
$0.03
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.32
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.71
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$1.64
$0.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.53
$0.01
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.32
$0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.28
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.44May 31, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$1.34May 9, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?$1.52Apr 30, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.28Apr 29, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 30?$1.71Apr 29, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?$1.64Apr 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.32Mar 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.42Mar 29, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.32Dec 30, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.56Dec 30, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.19Dec 9, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.85Dec 9, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.04Dec 9, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.55Dec 9, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.65Dec 9, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.20Dec 9, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.21Dec 8, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.54Dec 8, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.75Dec 8, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.21Dec 8, 07:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 02:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".