Faraway-Surge
0x8a5c2c35397bc6232113f6c8af86cfb389d9e8f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.71
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 18?
83 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 23?
32 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 18?
29 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 23?
23 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?$2.99May 30, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 24?$37.00May 25, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 24?$0.54May 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 24?$3.24May 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 24?$3.24May 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 23?$0.09May 23, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 24?$1.86May 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 24?$1.11May 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 23?$0.40May 23, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 23?$0.56May 23, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 23?$3.75May 23, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 23?$3.68May 23, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 23?$0.13May 23, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 23?$0.55May 23, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 13?$0.00May 23, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$0.00May 23, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12?$0.00May 23, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 13?$0.00May 23, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 12?$0.00May 23, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 13?$0.00May 23, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 23:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.