Helpful-Diagram
0x8a62bc9be76a92243eefeddf63f01101c437e491
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-540.84
Realised
$37.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
12930 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1563 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-155.00
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1374 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
530 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
421 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
222 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 10?
103 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-64.07
- YES
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
101 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-29.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 14, 6AM ET$7.67Nov 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - November 14, 5AM ET$7.67Nov 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 14, 5AM ET$3.36Nov 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?$3.36Nov 14, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 14, 5AM ET$1.53Nov 14, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$1.53Nov 13, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?$0.00Oct 28, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?$34.78Oct 28, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$28.57Oct 24, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$92.81Oct 21, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$73.17Oct 21, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?$16.87Oct 13, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$76.49Oct 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$8.18Oct 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$11.03Oct 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$35.00Oct 12, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$50.00Oct 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$10.00Oct 10, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?$11.10Oct 10, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 10?$64.07Oct 10, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $26.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 11:23 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 11:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".