Scarce-Coordination
0x8a6431b76104ca4b4636554218b64408f31cb9a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.54
Total PnL
$-0.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump end Department of Education in 2025?$1.03Jun 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?$1.00Jun 24, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?$1.00Jun 24, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?$1.00Jun 24, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?$1.00Jun 24, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMETH/BTC Up or Down on May 10?$1.11Jun 24, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump end Department of Education in 2025?$1.00May 9, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $1.00May 9, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$1.00May 9, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 10?$1.00May 9, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$0.00May 9, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$2.00May 9, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$2.00May 4, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?$0.00May 4, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$6.46May 4, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$10.00May 3, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$4.00Mar 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?$20.00Mar 20, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00Mar 20, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Iran strike on Israel in 2024?$0.00Mar 20, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".