Vigilant-Polo
0x8a6510fb63cad25d7043b9e0cb2159176b4425ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-35.5K
Realised
$4.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.1K
$137.50
- NO
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
118 shares @ 67.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$117.64
$37.82
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
30059 shares @ 85.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.7K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
6903 shares @ 92.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.4K
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
3881 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?
1571 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-970.41
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.19Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$6.9KFeb 28, 06:38 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Feb 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.7KFeb 27, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$106.25Feb 27, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$680.00Feb 27, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$21.25Feb 27, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$1.8KFeb 27, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.