Waterlogged-Microwave
0x8a68533efd0f6e12a9565160386c1ca1639b4acb
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.02
Total PnL
$-27.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6AM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on July 27 at 5PM ET?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 28?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1PM ET
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3PM ET
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 3PM ET
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on August 16?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.00May 9, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$5.17May 9, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$0.00May 8, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.49May 8, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.03May 8, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$1.01May 8, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.15May 8, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.01May 8, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.06May 8, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.00May 8, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.01May 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.00May 8, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET$1.00May 8, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00May 8, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00May 8, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.03May 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.00May 8, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.00May 7, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.00May 7, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.00May 7, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".