Thorny-Monsoon
0x8a685e9df8a0d9f220f0dbfc57851330811087eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$320.00
Total PnL
$9.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
220 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$220.00
$9.02
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$50.00
$0.05
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$50.00
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$210.98Dec 11, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$75.20Dec 11, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 11, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$72.80Nov 21, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$250.00Nov 21, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$49.95Oct 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$49.95Oct 10, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.90Sep 17, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$49.90Aug 31, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$249.25Aug 25, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $97.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 25, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.