Runny-Muffin
0x8a72adcca875a09e7ac48d95ab103a2eeb727175
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$10.1K
Total PnL
$-272.74
Realised
$-2.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
10021 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$10.0K
$5.01
- YES
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 98.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$96.70
$-1.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
350 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-248.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
112 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
20 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
6 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$10.0KJun 16, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 4?$10.0KJun 16, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 4?$367.98Jun 4, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 4?$4.2KJun 4, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 4?$3.1KJun 4, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 4?$2.3KJun 4, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$8.5KJun 3, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMOver $250M committed to the Printr public sale?$400.00Jun 3, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$1.1KJun 3, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$1.1KMay 27, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?$2.15May 27, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?$95.95May 27, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$0.00May 27, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$8.5KMay 27, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$9.7KMay 27, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$9.3KMay 21, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$278.22May 21, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$3.1KMay 21, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$6.5KMay 18, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$999.00May 16, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.