Cautious-Carbon
0x8a76a1e8913d16a9ea279b4a3ef3dad7d22dbf3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.01
Total PnL
$-66.07
Realised
$4.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?
9 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 15, 2022$0.01
$-2.99
- NO
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
433 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022?
347 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2022$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023?
230 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2023$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
219 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person before 2023?
150 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31?
107 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit?
99 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will $USDT depeg by August 31?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Trump mugshot by Aug 15?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2023$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?$1.68Aug 31, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "mog" in 2024?$4.00Aug 29, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$1.00Aug 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$20.00Aug 17, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuobi Insolvent in 2023?$1.00Aug 8, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump mugshot by Aug 15?$2.00Aug 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $USDT depeg by August 31?$1.50Aug 8, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023?$1.00Jan 8, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill SBF be federally indicted by EOY?$30.53Jan 8, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $4.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 22:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 31, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".