Woeful-Notion
0x8a8385afa628ff7c9f8c33305329dbe49a15f2ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$28.85
Win rate
24%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- YES
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2860 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
1129 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
640 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-23.69
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers
622 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-335.69
- YES
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
468 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-60.80
- OVER
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5
439 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
378 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-34.04
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?
339 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-108.60
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
324 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.52
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
319 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-38.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.30Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$35.55Jul 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$36.67Jul 6, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $30.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.