Apt-Expectation
0x8a85c99ed26c01e1eaed5bfd14aac22ab49dbb09
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.13
Total PnL
$-183.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 5?
258 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.13
$-24.05
- YES
Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?
371 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
364 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-19.96
- UP
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 17?
280 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-22.41
- DOWN
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 25?
239 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-11.97
- UP
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 5?
167 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.95
- DOWN
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on January 26?
70 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.71
- UP
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 5?
67 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-34.94
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Lakers
62 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 12?
49 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-13.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 5?$25.054h ago
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$865.504h ago
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 5?$19.9589d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$428.3793d ago
- TRADEBUYDow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on January 26?$19.7199d ago
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Lakers$12.00161d ago
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 25?$156.81161d ago
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 25?$28.93161d ago
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 25?$11.97162d ago
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 17?$22.41169d ago
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 12?$13.98174d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?$19.96181d ago
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 5?$34.94182d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?$5.00182d ago
- TRADESELLWill Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?$19.80182d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?$2.20182d ago
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?$22.08182d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?$24.48182d ago
- REDEEMHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 3?$0.00183d ago
- REDEEMHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 3?$24.75183d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $88.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 184d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".