Smug-Candidacy
0x8a87f44094432e0b24db5b6594aaf04581088bc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
121
Open notional
$241.16
Total PnL
$3.23
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 28?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$3.71
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 6?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.76
$0.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on June 6?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.67
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.66
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 4?
3 shares @ 75.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$2.65
$0.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 6?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.65
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 6?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.64
$0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 6?
3 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.64
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 6?
3 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.64
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 6?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.64
$0.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?$2.02Jun 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8?$2.50Jun 8, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 8?$2.62Jun 8, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 7?$2.55Jun 8, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?$2.00Jun 8, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 8?$2.45Jun 8, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 6?$2.65Jun 8, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 7?$2.33Jun 8, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 7?$1.78Jun 8, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 7?$2.63Jun 8, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 8?$2.52Jun 8, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?$2.45Jun 8, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 7?$0.00Jun 7, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 7?$2.55Jun 7, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 7?$2.08Jun 7, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7?$0.00Jun 7, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 7?$1.90Jun 7, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 7?$1.49Jun 7, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 7?$1.59Jun 7, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 6?$1.54Jun 7, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 15:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.