0x8a88c53f9974572e74bb86b6a81ade0f6bb0cfe2
0x8a88c53f9974572e74bb86b6a81ade0f6bb0cfe2
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.13
Total PnL
$-6.81
Realised
$-3.57
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$2.08
$0.98
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
8 shares @ 23.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.26
$-0.53
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
8 shares @ 17.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.67
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
10 shares @ 9.7¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-0.24
- YES
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
2 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.04
- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
11 shares @ 6.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-0.60
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Weed rescheduled by March 31?
4 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.44
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
4 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
1 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$0.84Jan 27, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$1.02Jan 27, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$0.84Jan 27, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$1.02Jan 27, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$0.77Jan 27, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.54Jan 27, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBLS delays another CPI release before 2027?$1.11Jan 27, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?$0.84Jan 26, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?$1.20Jan 26, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$0.86Jan 26, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$1.02Jan 26, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$0.86Jan 26, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$1.02Jan 26, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$0.80Jan 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$1.04Jan 26, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by March 31?$0.88Jan 26, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBLS delays another CPI release before 2027?$1.08Jan 26, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLDeel IPO before 2027?$0.78Jan 26, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeel IPO before 2027?$1.04Jan 25, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$0.84Jan 25, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 02:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.