Clumsy-Runaway
0x8a89521560d47cea0108a1f6e205f0127aff0e5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$17.98
Total PnL
$-485.55
Realised
$-0.76
Win rate
39%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?
9 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$9.00
$4.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$8.98
$4.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?
984 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 22?
563 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on May 22?
330 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on May 22?
312 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 2?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 22?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 22?
172 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?$0.52Jun 13, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?$1.41Jun 13, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?$0.24Jun 13, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?$2.67Jun 13, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?$2.91Jun 13, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?$1.06Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?$1.62Jun 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?$4.26Jun 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$2.87Jun 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13?$1.51Jun 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?$2.88Jun 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?$2.24Jun 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13?$5.01Jun 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?$4.04Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13?$1.30Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13?$2.71Jun 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?$3.39Jun 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$4.97Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?$4.24Jun 13, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13?$3.22Jun 13, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.