Chubby-Semicircle
0x8aa0de9a32ba5e581f7325ea7dd1be75fa34a91e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$40.96
Total PnL
$-61.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
25 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$24.97
$0.65
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
16 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$15.99
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 18?
23 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-22.31
- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
10 shares @ 96.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.63
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
10 shares @ 92.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.24
- SUNS
Warriors vs. Suns
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$15.85Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?$18.84Jun 8, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?$18.64Jun 7, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$14.98Jun 4, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$14.57Jun 2, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?$15.98Jun 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$55.22Jun 1, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$16.82May 31, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$16.67May 30, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$55.01May 29, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?$15.69May 29, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$23.00May 27, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$22.78May 25, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$23.75May 18, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$23.31May 18, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$16.82May 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$16.51May 17, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$15.90May 12, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$15.54May 11, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$19.94May 9, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $19.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.