Vicious-Hardhat
0x8aaaac8e8523492db360b722af35177f4d4d51df
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$5.8K
Win rate
93%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
4244 shares @ 21.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.4K
$1.5K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
8172 shares @ 15.2¢·now 29.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.4K
$1.1K
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
7706 shares @ 43.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$924.74
$-2.5K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$481.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$337.50
$22.50
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1234 shares @ 15.7¢·now 16.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$207.97
$14.35
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$72.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.50
$-7.50
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
194 shares @ 19.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.72
$-34.20
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
41111 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-145.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$274.50Jun 13, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$182.00Jun 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$106.00Jun 13, 12:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$193.62Jun 12, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$402.00Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$11.07Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56.63Jun 11, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$394.83Jun 11, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$214.80Jun 11, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$265.19Jun 11, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$66.20Jun 11, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$231.91Jun 11, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$321.91Jun 11, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$294.00Jun 11, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$262.95Jun 11, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$190.69Jun 11, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$111.02Jun 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.0KJun 11, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $136.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.