Tame-Tendency
0x8aad4976e644819f865cf781125e32fffc102f6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?
10711 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
1334 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 25?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
52 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.42Mar 26, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 22, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.26Mar 22, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 20, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$31.82Mar 20, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 19, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 19, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 19, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 19, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$2.00Mar 19, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Mar 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$2.00Mar 19, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.00Mar 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$5.00Mar 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?$3.00Mar 19, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 24?$0.00Mar 19, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 24?$1.00Jan 25, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$1.00Jan 25, 15:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.